TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,707
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,707 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under61c6,421$3,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,903.294,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over52c4,851$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.926550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf984…24cebacked Under56c4,502$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5001711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-72.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over36c3,456$1,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.757139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd54a…f538backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd4…51b1backed Under49c2,652$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3001573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under49c2,256$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,105.441172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over51c1,787$911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.557337%27 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over44c1,527$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.261,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over51c1,400$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.996756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over51c1,381$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.698445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under70c1,163$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.533,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c901.06$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.572,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under48c841.53$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.941346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c806.72$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.568450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1788…0994backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over38c515.79$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.7917128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over51c505$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.451478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+62.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under48c466.81$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.0717859.6%106 W · 72 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c465.4$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.3922455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under62c451.6$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Over45c415.48$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.83444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over52c410.5$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0440357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.810927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c286.05$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.364457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Over51c280.02$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.271040%4 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Over52c261.81$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.721050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x229b…331fbacked Under26c239.7$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.32333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over73c237.1$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.11361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under65c231.69$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1510127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over41c231.22$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.493151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over28c221.01$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.5228138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c195$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.61,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3122939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc7b1…7e9abacked Over51c192.27$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.211145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under12c180.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6216348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over33c162.54$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.8340239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over33c147.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.8917562.9%110 W · 65 L+32.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over51c144$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5628045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over33c132$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6637348.3%180 W · 193 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under63c116.27$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7245841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over41c114.54$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.588641.9%36 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under48c111.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7611542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503033.3%10 W · 20 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+40.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Over46c97.83$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.83933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under72c88.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6633544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Under56c70.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.652744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c67.51$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.731,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfde8…c52fbacked Over23c65.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.223842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x983c…dd56backed Under77c64.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.623839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under56c62.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9219865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over43c61.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.110554.3%57 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under56c58.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over35c57.1$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1259655.4%330 W · 266 L+31.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over52c55.77$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.771855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under49c50.01$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2522448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.55440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over52c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2438748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdff8…4a23backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+44.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over48c49.99$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…0bb1backed Over34c49.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.994645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f5…1cc6backed Under52c49.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over51c48.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5816865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0849228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under48c46.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6145450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c46.2$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5683444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed Over72c43.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.361844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3c7…7070backed Under64c39.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x088e…72debacked Under49c38.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+61.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under56c35.39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9821546%99 W · 116 L-14.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under56c32.23$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2141751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under76c30.22$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0726154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521457.5%123 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under51c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.34443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under49c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.79252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over51c29.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.555560%33 W · 22 L-0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under49c29.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5548251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4132444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under48c28.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.927761%47 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over50c28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Over53c25.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.0815655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under57c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.65345.9%2 W · 32 L-8.0wins-0.24per pick29cpaid-89.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc56b…3afdbacked Over44c22.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.741241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Under49c22.21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.888846.6%41 W · 47 L-11.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under49c20.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.052540%10 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20bf…2be9backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.