La Liga · resolved market
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x855d1c327eab2dee41e5f7a92b0a6d2d478040189118e685a588da9cf3f6e1d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,355
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,355 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 38c | 779.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 549.57$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.06 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 379.13$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.86 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 45c | 109.09$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.09 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…c19ebacked No | 65c | 103.08$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 28c | 98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…4d44backed Yes | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 57c | 87.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 65c | 66.98$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 59c | 65.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed No | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 53c | 47.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 25.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 22.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 53c | 22.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 54c | 21.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked No | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 48c | 20.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 64c | 20.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 0.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
- RCD Mallorca vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: RCD Mallorca (-2.5)RCD Mallorca won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)RCD Mallorca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.