Fifa International · resolved market
Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9d0e6f5de44c7f617900fe25854f0742305a661f69be4752dccdabefccae635
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 76c | 4,410$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.23 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 3,272$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.18 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 2,843$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.67 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 25c | 2,704$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.34 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 30c | 719.93$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.03 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…8814backed Over | 55c | 598.93$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.52 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 63c | 475.65$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 77c | 412.39$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.91 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 38c | 409.86$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.51 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 58c | 404.86$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Over | 74c | 404.3$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 73c | 404.14$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 74c | 374.11$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.27 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…8fc6backed Over | 55c | 281.82$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.82 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 76c | 249.96$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 32c | 234.07$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.81 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Under | 12c | 227.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Under | 58c | 208.47$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 68c | 204.77$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…3a21backed Under | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.38 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 50c | 196.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d2…d2dcbacked Over | 52c | 189.94$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 42c | 145.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 31c | 138.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 137.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4206…f874backed Over | 69c | 123.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 82 | 70.7%58 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 59c | 113.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 49c | 109.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.24 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…087dbacked Under | 58c | 100.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed Over | 67c | 99.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.97 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 51c | 93.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 289 | 64.4%186 W · 103 L | +42.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 37c | 86.52$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 42c | 67.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 49c | 65.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 37c | 62.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Under | 26c | 54.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 27c | 43.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under | 34c | 30.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 477 | 44.2%211 W · 266 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 57c | 28.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 413 | 44.1%182 W · 231 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 55 | 78.2%43 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…5a88backed Over | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -6.4wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…cebabacked Under | 61c | 18.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 2.5this page
- Indonesia vs. Oman: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 0.5Over won
- Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 1.5Over won
- Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 3.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 4.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Indonesia (-1.5)Indonesia won
- Spread: Indonesia (-2.5)Indonesia won
- Spread: Oman (-1.5)Indonesia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.