Fifa International · resolved market
Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf0c482901016403f4d30437ce4e5e9b18864334a80fdc21b8ac6292a62520bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 1,135$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.81 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 22c | 497.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.81 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 441.36$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.16 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 60c | 311.15$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0145…35d0backed Over | 71c | 281.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.69 | 148 | 66.9%99 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 279.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.74 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 42c | 221$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…1289backed Over | 54c | 192.3$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc358…fa8fbacked Over | 80c | 191.2$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…52bcbacked Over | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 31c | 120$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 19c | 117.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 69c | 95.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d05…864cbacked Under | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 31c | 54.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 203 | 30.5%62 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 80c | 43.73$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 271 | 54.6%148 W · 123 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Under | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Under | 45c | 37.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 37.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 129 | 53.5%69 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf945…6c15backed Over | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8857…4b5bbacked Over | 70c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 200 | 53%106 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 70c | 21.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 65c | 18.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a7…982cbacked Over | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed Over | 80c | 16.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 62cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 1.5this page
- Indonesia vs. Oman: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 0.5Over won
- Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 2.5Over won
- Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 3.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 4.5Under won
- Indonesia vs. Oman: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Indonesia (-1.5)Indonesia won
- Spread: Indonesia (-2.5)Indonesia won
- Spread: Oman (-1.5)Indonesia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.