La Liga · resolved market
Cádiz CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x371916bba7cd993c7a50dd1987fa0a0fdad7cf9c7931e3c8ec293870993515df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 37c | 2,452$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.4 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 64c | 1,696$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.24 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 66c | 970.33$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.02 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 49c | 501.38$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.3 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…94fdbacked Over | 22c | 196.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 13c | 172$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 71c | 160$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.78 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 74c | 130.66$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e2…9ecdbacked Over | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 36c | 71.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 55c | 64.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 124 | 70.2%87 W · 37 L | +30.3wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +70%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…8a42backed Under | 31c | 61.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 46c | 49.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 62c | 24.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a97…90b1backed Over | 57c | 17.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 70c | 16.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cádiz CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5this page
- Cádiz CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5Over won
- Cádiz CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cádiz CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Cádiz CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.