Premier League · resolved market
Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b54effa3821493d410ee6e15aa3e9c10b6f398bc283a4f530d1b69140ab0751
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 6c | 626.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.89 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 10c | 603.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 29c | 208.97$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.37 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 30c | 191.6$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.12 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 61c | 190.34$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 504 | 50%252 W · 252 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 185.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.59 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 8c | 169.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 34c | 132.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 33c | 128.32$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.68 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 28c | 100.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.88 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 30c | 99.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.67 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…d3e3backed No | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.74 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 30c | 95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 810 | 53.6%434 W · 376 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Yes | 63c | 92.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 72c | 85.87$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 54c | 81.11$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 70c | 70.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.1 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34d…e1bdbacked No | 40c | 68.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 67.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked No | 38c | 62.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 75c | 61.31$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c9…4a47backed No | 71c | 59.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 42c | 59.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked No | 43c | 58.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Yes | 30c | 54.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 57c | 39.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 29c | 38.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 93 | 31.2%29 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 65c | 32.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 57c | 18.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 58c | 18.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-21?this page
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.