Premier League · resolved market
Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab0d885b20c15bd47e638dcf6ab2548a8f5054541301acf4340724ea5e2e23f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 1,010$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.78 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked No | 57c | 968.1$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.28 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fe…7558backed Yes | 42c | 835$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 58c | 827$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.34 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 19c | 658.03$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 44c | 550.9$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.39 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 44c | 449.69$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.87 | 538 | 28.3%152 W · 386 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 56c | 322.51$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 56c | 270.79$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.33 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 57c | 264.23$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.45 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 69c | 246$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 58c | 204.71$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.98 | 179 | 59.8%107 W · 72 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4147…902abacked Yes | 34c | 198.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 11c | 194.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 328 | 22.3%73 W · 255 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 56c | 185.7$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 42c | 173.15$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.72 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 43c | 170.47$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 56c | 150$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked No | 57c | 147.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 57c | 147.74$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977c…8c15backed Yes | 43c | 139.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 114$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.12 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -52%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes | 43c | 98.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 58c | 85.47$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 14c | 75.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…b36fbacked No | 58c | 71.95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3f…a5b2backed No | 58c | 67.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 56c | 61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 410 | 40.5%166 W · 244 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed No | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 57c | 44.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 43c | 28.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Yes | 43c | 25.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked No | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 221 | 56.1%124 W · 97 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d010backed Yes | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 56c | 22.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 73c | 21.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 20.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC win on 2026-04-21?this page
- Will Queens Park Rangers FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?No won
- Will Swansea City AFC win on 2026-04-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.