TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Virginia Cavaliersof Virginia Cavaliers, Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,472
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$107,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,472 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish18c9,057$1,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,630.2524748.2%119 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Virginia Cavaliers42c6,407$2,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,685.715,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish56c5,493$3,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,075.951,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe81…5fe9backed Virginia Cavaliers80c4,850$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.052965.5%19 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish52c3,684$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.371,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish67c3,464$2,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,328.49144%40 W · 51 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Virginia Cavaliers54c3,295$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.766043.3%26 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9772…4867backed Virginia Cavaliers66c3,016$1,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish20c2,947$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.784,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish47c2,802$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.2631646.8%148 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Virginia Cavaliers73c2,513$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.82,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Virginia Cavaliers39c2,206$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.391,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Virginia Cavaliers67c2,115$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.312,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60e0…45a6backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish28c1,707$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Virginia Cavaliers51c1,106$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.745,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish19c1,000$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.0218129.3%53 W · 128 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c64…348fbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20570%0 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish30c913.94$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.2566831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish54c893.89$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.611,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish19c800$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15225043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish18c773.77$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a6…0009backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish24c713.65$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712832.1%9 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-32.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Virginia Cavaliers50c699.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.135459.3%32 W · 22 L+7.9wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+59.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish39c647.68$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.983,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish46c630.81$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.242,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish39c625.37$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24412435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish18c559.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.826740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish52c522.56$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.671,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish40c501$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9455840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Virginia Cavaliers80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed1…caa2backed Virginia Cavaliers44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.0225325.3%64 W · 189 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish49c474.31$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.681,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish32c467.25$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15136845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f91…40adbacked Virginia Cavaliers53c431.97$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.154055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Virginia Cavaliers45c402.78$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.199037.8%34 W · 56 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Virginia Cavaliers51c389$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9325246.4%117 W · 135 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x958a…c897backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish54c373.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023331.3%73 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Virginia Cavaliers65c351$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.5372248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Virginia Cavaliers70c320.65$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.193040%12 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Virginia Cavaliers38c315.76$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.82,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…5e53backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish52c291.25$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.8711136%40 W · 71 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Virginia Cavaliers39c278.01$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.2436535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018846.8%88 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ed…32d3backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x288e…ec6abacked Virginia Cavaliers79c261.99$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.04250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish48c260.58$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.326538.5%25 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…1a20backed Virginia Cavaliers50c259.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.563148.4%15 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Virginia Cavaliers63c235.29$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.615453.9%83 W · 71 L+16.8wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Virginia Cavaliers51c232$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0214643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ec…81c2backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish44c230$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.28817%15 W · 73 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish67c223.9$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15018167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish37c194.86$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5453635.6%191 W · 345 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Virginia Cavaliers41c186.14$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.5294036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c2…2d77backed Virginia Cavaliers22c183.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.18728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish20c167.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8225436.6%93 W · 161 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish51c159.96$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.221,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Virginia Cavaliers63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7317062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2822…2459backed Virginia Cavaliers59c156.92$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.34757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish48c155$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.711,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish38c150$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.844955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish22c148.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.391,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Virginia Cavaliers40c131.97$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8670349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish37c130.89$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.436149.2%30 W · 31 L+6.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Virginia Cavaliers75c110.57$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5458345.5%265 W · 318 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Virginia Cavaliers47c108.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6799848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x793d…5a89backed Virginia Cavaliers48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc56b…fe0abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish63c103.59$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.059543.2%41 W · 54 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,26043.3%545 W · 715 L+34.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde15…2ccfbacked Virginia Cavaliers24c81.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+104.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish39c79.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4812537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf360…6726backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish20c79$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.85911.9%7 W · 52 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish16c75$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1222552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish36c69.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.061,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish25c68.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.933,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3174…b136backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish55c65$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.871070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish48c64.86$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Virginia Cavaliers56c62.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa5f…3de3backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish19c61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.595541.8%23 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ab…361bbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish49c57.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289821.4%21 W · 77 L-17.7wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-55.5%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2fd5…ef85backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish44c56.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0625239.3%99 W · 153 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a29…b807backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish51c54.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.728140.7%33 W · 48 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Virginia Cavaliers37c53.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4217647.2%83 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Virginia Cavaliers38c50.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3345953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa26…564fbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021252.4%111 W · 101 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x309d…4287backed Virginia Cavaliers74c48.7$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.663647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish60c48.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0697447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Virginia Cavaliers35c47.95$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.291,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…6dd0backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0f1…6aa4backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish50c40.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad38…432bbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish40c39.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1640%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa3…b307backed Virginia Cavaliers58c39.48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.431729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick21cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish57c39.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4729954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6498…4c36backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a17…5d26backed Virginia Cavaliers70c37.97$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.391464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x184e…b307backed Virginia Cavaliers70c35.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.612065%13 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea8d…e9d3backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish57c33.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.26352.4%33 W · 30 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3a3…f5a3backed Virginia Cavaliers45c33.48$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+101.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.