Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47f9bfab363343b72784ee69e3c5404f87079bf1d6d73d7a6e8c051c4c1fb5cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grand Canyon Antelopesof Grand Canyon Antelopes, Fresno State Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 22c | 1,025$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.46 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 10c | 957.71$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 21c | 665$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.52 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 13c | 407.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 5c | 291.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 63c | 237.81$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 77c | 232.61$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 78c | 188.18$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 66c | 180$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.04 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 64c | 169.01$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 36c | 169.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c2…9970backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 10c | 116.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…3748backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 65c | 77.16$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 77c | 76.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 79c | 63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes | 62c | 59.14$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f1…6aa4backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e4c5backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 29c | 49.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Grand Canyon Antelopes | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fresno State Bulldogs | 47c | 33.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Fresno State Bulldogs | 35c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Fresno State Bulldogsthis page
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Fresno State Bulldogs: O/U 141.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.