Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Fresno State Bulldogs: O/U 141.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x191e8fd4175eb61d87f03c41948a1634ccd837ce048c03fb39f489f843525263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $579,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $579,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 62c | 440,757$273,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273,249.02 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 38c | 434,031$164,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269,099.06 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 61c | 49,995$30,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,497.07 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +9.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 38c | 35,980$13,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,307.66 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 38c | 21,846$8,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500.8 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824c…d2bbbacked Over | 69c | 19,000$13,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Under | 31c | 18,500$5,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,765 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 53c | 7,234$3,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,832.56 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 6,672$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,534.76 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 61c | 5,020$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.35 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 39c | 2,044$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.79 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 40c | 1,047$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.4 | 159 | 47.2%75 W · 84 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 999$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.49 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 45c | 310.47$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.76 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 47c | 158.67$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.67 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 39c | 147$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.67 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Over | 50c | 139.28$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 38c | 135.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 50c | 121.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.64 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 45c | 77.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 46c | 66.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Over | 62c | 57.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Under | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 38c | 34.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf7…91bebacked Under | 45c | 29.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3518…c4aebacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 44c | 23.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…de7ebacked Over | 56c | 18.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Fresno State Bulldogs: O/U 141.5this page
- Grand Canyon Antelopes vs. Fresno State BulldogsGrand Canyon Antelopes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.