Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 134.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7df26320ac1fb95fd0d93b3ed9599f4fb8a1c07524297abb33318d65c67ffb48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $538,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $539,749
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $538,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 480,086$247,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232,952.69 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 48c | 211,307$101,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,427.31 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 49c | 200,000$98,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 30,050$14,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,724 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 49c | 24,505$12,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,389.68 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 21,164$10,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,570.22 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 15,872$7,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,965.27 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 48c | 8,694$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190.33 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,940 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 5,194$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.26 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 55c | 2,545$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.22 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 47c | 1,604$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.05 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…d304backed Over | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2f…3531backed Over | 41c | 629.84$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.02 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 50c | 398$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 49c | 355$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.84 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 49c | 352.47$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.71 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Over | 50c | 238.97$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under | 50c | 226.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 182.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.63 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Under | 56c | 177.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Under | 50c | 159.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 51c | 147.78$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 51c | 146.49$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.78 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 108.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.34 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 49c | 104.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…23afbacked Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 160 | 8.1%13 W · 147 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3b…2077backed Over | 71c | 70.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…8783backed Over | 71c | 68.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 28c | 68.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…6e59backed Over | 52c | 62.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…6f40backed Under | 51c | 42.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0343…5475backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…e8d7backed Over | 55c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Under | 50c | 32.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754d…893bbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 50c | 24.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 50c | 24.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…80d2backed Under | 50c | 21.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 134.5this page
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Canisius Golden GriffinsMount St. Mary's Mountaineers won
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Canisius Golden Griffins: O/U 135.5Over won
- Spread: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (-3.5)Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.