TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Canisius Golden Griffins

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersof Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, Canisius Golden Griffins
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,073
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,292

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,073 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers62c3,101$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.475,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b9…0598backed Canisius Golden Griffins31c2,922$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9104035%14 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-39.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd106…4a11backed Canisius Golden Griffins42c1,640$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Canisius Golden Griffins50c1,326$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.212,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e2…b0a7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers67c1,060$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.617965.8%52 W · 27 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.9%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x9569…27fdbacked Canisius Golden Griffins59c852.61$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001782.4%14 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.30per pick53cpaid+63.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Canisius Golden Griffins40c672.16$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.976636.4%24 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers68c652.25$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.674,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ea…9393backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers58c580$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5988…2392backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers58c550$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2311100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Canisius Golden Griffins38c539.23$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.9139744.8%178 W · 219 L+9.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df9…37efbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers58c510$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Canisius Golden Griffins34c383.69$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.183,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c36…4192backed Canisius Golden Griffins40c350$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers57c295.2$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.9410846.3%50 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers61c282.38$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1102,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers59c266.42$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.461,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers61c236$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.041,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Canisius Golden Griffins32c200$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0245644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers45c163.81$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.421,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers79c152.49$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.661,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Canisius Golden Griffins43c138.31$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9432343%139 W · 184 L-18.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Canisius Golden Griffins54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf4f…bdc8backed Canisius Golden Griffins48c93.97$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Canisius Golden Griffins29c85$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6122050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Canisius Golden Griffins59c83.54$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.291457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Canisius Golden Griffins21c81.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.514,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdd…55babacked Canisius Golden Griffins58c69.45$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick58cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5305…57e8backed Canisius Golden Griffins55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333429.4%10 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc186…ad81backed Canisius Golden Griffins43c57.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Canisius Golden Griffins55c55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2540252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Canisius Golden Griffins36c54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.291,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd4…f4d3backed Canisius Golden Griffins40c50.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Canisius Golden Griffins39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers44c49.49$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4923544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers59c49.07$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.282,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e8…0b04backed Canisius Golden Griffins43c46.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.981957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers60c38.56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.233,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers61c37.36$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7257335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canisius Golden Griffins46c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.261,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d53…3ad0backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers80c26.25$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.252343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.8wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-32.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa194…a62abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers60c17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.815851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.