Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 148.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6510f463f7d8dab65ebd835b335586210feefe11b25c5853ea7378d1d239985c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $749,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $749,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $749,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Under | 47c | 500,000$235,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235,000 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 53c | 490,740$260,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230,666.23 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 53c | 133,211$70,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,609.22 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Under | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 47c | 11,111$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,222.17 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 5,040$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 4,750$2,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,247.19 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 2,898$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,355.53 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 51c | 1,765$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.81 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Under | 47c | 1,456$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.43 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 47c | 1,260$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.2 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 53c | 752.09$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.48 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…9c28backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Under | 49c | 449.7$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.35 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 47c | 423.41$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 48c | 355.47$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.71 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Under | 49c | 323$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.27 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked Under | 49c | 269.24$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.93 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…fef1backed Under | 49c | 241.67$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.42 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +14.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 53c | 111.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad01…6f40backed Under | 49c | 95.92$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Under | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33c…6006backed Under | 49c | 71.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Under | 49c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd05a…bf53backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Over | 50c | 43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…805bbacked Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…95e3backed Under | 48c | 38.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…80d2backed Under | 49c | 34.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 53c | 29.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 148.5this page
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Wisconsin BadgersWisconsin Badgers won
- Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 147.5Over won
- Spread: Wisconsin Badgers (-14.5)Rutgers Scarlet Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.