Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e0831d8298c401be95edb42145d38d76d8dc722c36e98a45169264d7f785b85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,250 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 41c | 25,000$10,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,250 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 31c | 629.57$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.72 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 41c | 343.33$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.33 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 61c | 327.42$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.42 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 256.85$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.16 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 74c | 201.59$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…d1b1backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 76c | 175$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Yes | 40c | 165$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Yes | 39c | 59.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 27c | 43.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d4…c5cdbacked No | 60c | 37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed No | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…d4dfbacked No | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked No | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb3…c770backed No | 63c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…745bbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587f…1d4abacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 38c | 27.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked No | 60c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 60c | 16.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will KF Shkëndija 79 vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava end in a draw?No won
- Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2025-12-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.