Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2025-12-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17dd5b947b1037133b6b8744af61969b6bcf4f7bb51cab9f03ef114a0fb1f756
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Yes | 33c | 758$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.86 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 65c | 654.51$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.43 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 429$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.01 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked No | 69c | 408.44$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 67c | 343$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.81 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 67c | 246.42$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.1 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 30c | 242.88$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.02 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 69c | 106.34$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 56c | 101.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Yes | 33c | 70$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9af4…c6ddbacked No | 68c | 70$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 59c | 66.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 142 | 33.1%47 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd470…783ebacked Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 50c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 50c | 26.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 72c | 26.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…3614backed No | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 71cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked No | 67c | 15.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58b7…103cbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KF Shkëndija 79 win on 2025-12-11?this page
- Will KF Shkëndija 79 vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava end in a draw?No won
- Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2025-12-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.