Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Dayton Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4187fdb279c5622ba8c6e9cb99bbd47106e0fb3a751614636d5fc3c4d9343503
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dayton Flyersof George Washington Revolutionaries, Dayton Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1624…bf63backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 2c | 4,811$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Dayton Flyers | 66c | 3,623$2,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.66 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 36c | 2,643$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.26 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 1c | 2,062$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 42c | 1,290$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.8 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 24c | 1,230$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.44 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 3c | 958.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Dayton Flyers | 57c | 886.97$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.65 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Dayton Flyers | 59c | 825$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.12 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Dayton Flyers | 58c | 800$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 42c | 709.35$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.93 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 26c | 678$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.12 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 43c | 518.6$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 14c | 451.2$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.24 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Dayton Flyers | 63c | 447.67$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.7 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 65c | 446.67$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.91 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 43c | 381.06$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 16c | 365$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 38c | 322.25$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dayton Flyers | 61c | 194.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e4…b96fbacked Dayton Flyers | 42c | 178.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Dayton Flyers | 46c | 160$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…657ebacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 37c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 40c | 149$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 7c | 147$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Dayton Flyers | 35c | 128.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.59 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Dayton Flyers | 56c | 121.74$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 23c | 111.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…3e65backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dayton Flyers | 68c | 99.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Dayton Flyers | 60c | 99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 38c | 98.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…a045backed Dayton Flyers | 60c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Dayton Flyers | 60c | 78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0acf…a141backed Dayton Flyers | 57c | 65.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 35c | 62.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 22c | 60.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 323 | 43%139 W · 184 L | -18.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Dayton Flyers | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72f9…629abacked Dayton Flyers | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 43c | 51.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b80…8e56backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 39c | 41.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 200 | 24%48 W · 152 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1670…d6a2backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 40c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd1…0b70backed Dayton Flyers | 56c | 35.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 40c | 34.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Dayton Flyers | 41c | 34.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 227 | 56.4%128 W · 99 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Dayton Flyers | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 40c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 39c | 28.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 52c | 27.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked George Washington Revolutionaries | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Dayton Flyers | 41c | 26.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 43c | 25.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -9.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 44c | 24.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…fb77backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 53c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed George Washington Revolutionaries | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…7292backed Dayton Flyers | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Dayton Flyersthis page
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-2.5)Dayton Flyers won
- Spread: Dayton Flyers (-3.5)Dayton Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.