Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Cleveland State Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x141da33d7e2bdc2a7a86e7fb5745d2f201b9ddd756a04b7f0bf1f04ae93bd7e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland State Vikingsof IU Indy Jaguars, Cleveland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,251
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,251 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland State Vikings | 73c | 2,486$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.69 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Cleveland State Vikings | 51c | 2,032$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.24 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked IU Indy Jaguars | 48c | 1,098$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.72 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 18c | 1,074$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.08 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Cleveland State Vikings | 55c | 908$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.62 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed IU Indy Jaguars | 34c | 657.2$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.18 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 24c | 446.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked IU Indy Jaguars | 25c | 423.12$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.82 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Cleveland State Vikings | 60c | 310$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.53 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed IU Indy Jaguars | 24c | 300$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 60c | 298.74$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed IU Indy Jaguars | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Cleveland State Vikings | 54c | 242.32$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 41c | 236.11$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.81 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed IU Indy Jaguars | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed IU Indy Jaguars | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 14c | 173.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed IU Indy Jaguars | 46c | 160$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed IU Indy Jaguars | 34c | 155.28$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 51c | 152.2$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.58 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 41c | 131.63$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 43c | 125.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed IU Indy Jaguars | 42c | 125.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked IU Indy Jaguars | 20c | 102.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3e52backed IU Indy Jaguars | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea7…657ebacked IU Indy Jaguars | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 23c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed IU Indy Jaguars | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed IU Indy Jaguars | 15c | 71.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 25c | 55.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cleveland State Vikings | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed IU Indy Jaguars | 42c | 47.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…39fdbacked Cleveland State Vikings | 52c | 47.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 24c | 46.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed IU Indy Jaguars | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Cleveland State Vikings | 54c | 45.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked IU Indy Jaguars | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Cleveland State Vikings | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…f0b6backed Cleveland State Vikings | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.