NHL · resolved market
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00cd5f773aa7040a76af5c6d3b0ab3a412b369d0c0539661c96d03318ecc101f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Avalanche, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,256
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked Kings | 16c | 13,292$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.48 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kings | 17c | 10,989$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.17 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kings | 7c | 3,941$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.28 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Kings | 17c | 3,249$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f2…c423backed Kings | 18c | 871.57$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Kings | 16c | 700$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Kings | 11c | 318.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Kings | 11c | 248.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef9…cdcdbacked Kings | 18c | 242.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.73 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Kings | 11c | 236.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.82 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Kings | 19c | 210.35$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Kings | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffaf…b675backed Kings | 19c | 149.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4805…6c7bbacked Kings | 9c | 136.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Kings | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7980…feadbacked Avalanche | 80c | 86.45$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Avalanche | 75c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.