Tennis · resolved market
Bucsa vs. Zheng: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9459d509bf2bbffbb09bd22248cbf7125e5537698e6bbfb852eb9030e385e175
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7547…d158backed Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c2…e9bfbacked Under | 61c | 58.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…d069backed Under | 62c | 44.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 61c | 34.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8047…0a8dbacked Under | 62c | 33.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f0…0f04backed Under | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…6544backed Under | 62c | 31.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc5…1ea2backed Under | 62c | 30.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda95…34f0backed Under | 66c | 27.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…f13abacked Under | 62c | 27.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039d…390abacked Under | 61c | 27.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…7767backed Under | 62c | 26.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…ac4abacked Under | 62c | 26.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…50c4backed Under | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…f4f1backed Under | 62c | 25.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10c…9bb3backed Under | 66c | 25.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…3bafbacked Under | 62c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…49d1backed Under | 62c | 25.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8c…7a0cbacked Under | 62c | 25.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…c0f8backed Under | 62c | 25.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…1a36backed Under | 62c | 25.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…a5f9backed Under | 62c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92ba…97f7backed Under | 62c | 24.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecf5…19afbacked Under | 62c | 24.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…c0a0backed Under | 66c | 23.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e9…7ed8backed Under | 62c | 23.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…fd77backed Under | 62c | 23.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…bfefbacked Under | 62c | 23.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46be…9ce1backed Under | 65c | 23.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…6bc6backed Under | 62c | 23.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…88a0backed Under | 62c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…6253backed Under | 62c | 22.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…40adbacked Under | 62c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702a…d666backed Under | 62c | 21.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec81…c2f4backed Under | 62c | 21.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…d201backed Under | 62c | 20.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…745bbacked Under | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…d21cbacked Under | 62c | 19.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4426…ea88backed Under | 62c | 17.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucsa vs. Zheng: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Cristina Bucsa vs Qinwen ZhengQinwen Zheng won
- Set 1 Winner: Bucsa vs ZhengZheng won
- Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Bucsa (+1.5)Zheng won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.