MLB · resolved market
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62961b47e802690db5fee35c9422d0d9ac83c37e1c887b1f8dbbc79e741c5395
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 69c | 4,174$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Under | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 31c | 2,134$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.48 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 1,627$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.36 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 44c | 1,199$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.94 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 31c | 833$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.95 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 62c | 800.63$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.23 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 74c | 539.21$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.21 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 525.71$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.16 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 69c | 297.04$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 65c | 272.19$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 72c | 260.42$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 51c | 176.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Over | 71c | 146.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 64c | 144.91$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.3 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 71c | 139.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 71c | 139.63$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 71c | 90.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…60d0backed Over | 72c | 76.01$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 31c | 71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Under | 31c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 41c | 59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…47a7backed Over | 72c | 58.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 31c | 57.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 29c | 57.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 136 | 72.1%98 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 74cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 66c | 49.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.76 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…aa9ebacked Over | 77c | 49.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…b7d4backed Over | 71c | 43.3$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 40c | 42.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…e021backed Over | 72c | 41.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecc…15f2backed Over | 71c | 41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…0ab2backed Over | 71c | 39.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441c…17ecbacked Over | 71c | 39.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17c5…fbe1backed Over | 72c | 39.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…8539backed Over | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…1f81backed Over | 71c | 38.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46be…9ce1backed Over | 71c | 37.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…a79cbacked Over | 71c | 37.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf354…5645backed Over | 72c | 37.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…3732backed Over | 71c | 37.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c8…ccffbacked Over | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c7…b0c6backed Over | 71c | 36.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe998…ac26backed Over | 71c | 36.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 67cpaid | -60%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb34c…e5bebacked Over | 71c | 36.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…ae3cbacked Over | 71c | 36.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4da…3261backed Over | 71c | 35.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…f3f0backed Over | 70c | 35.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…f2c6backed Over | 71c | 35.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…eeadbacked Over | 71c | 35.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…e320backed Over | 71c | 34.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c38…c255backed Over | 71c | 34.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…6e15backed Over | 72c | 34.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…c6dcbacked Over | 71c | 34.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 62c | 34.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…f4f1backed Over | 72c | 34.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…77d2backed Over | 71c | 34.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa2…60b9backed Over | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…572dbacked Over | 71c | 33.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc106…19a6backed Over | 71c | 33.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…fa4bbacked Over | 71c | 33.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 72cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…745bbacked Over | 72c | 33.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x960a…42f1backed Over | 72c | 33.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 31c | 33.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 167 | 34.7%58 W · 109 L | -17.3wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98cf…df20backed Over | 71c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.43per pick | 63cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb70e…bed7backed Over | 71c | 32.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a9…fc5dbacked Over | 71c | 32.6$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5992…2ad0backed Over | 71c | 32.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…5ae8backed Over | 72c | 32.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Under | 46c | 32.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…d59bbacked Over | 71c | 32.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…abaebacked Over | 72c | 32.21$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e37…ac4abacked Over | 72c | 32.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f10…8fd3backed Over | 71c | 32.2$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8be6…221cbacked Over | 72c | 31.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca7…0720backed Over | 71c | 31.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc51…674abacked Over | 63c | 31.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2120…50c4backed Over | 72c | 31.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa42d…4d66backed Over | 71c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6f…44e9backed Over | 71c | 30.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…c0a0backed Over | 71c | 30.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a9…1df3backed Over | 71c | 30.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 69cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa627…aee0backed Over | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 71cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe282…4681backed Over | 72c | 29.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4141…b90fbacked Over | 72c | 29.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…618cbacked Over | 71c | 29.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2685…8918backed Over | 71c | 28.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96c…1e56backed Over | 72c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…f9fbbacked Over | 71c | 28.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e5…7347backed Over | 71c | 28.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.18 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4cbabacked Over | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…443bbacked Over | 71c | 27.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…13b7backed Over | 72c | 27.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329b…8b1cbacked Over | 71c | 27.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a6…f5d9backed Over | 71c | 27.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f9…0bffbacked Over | 72c | 27.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03aa…4633backed Over | 71c | 27.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…fd62backed Over | 72c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-3.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland GuardiansWashington Nationals won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5Under won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5Over won
- Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland GuardiansNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.