TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Florida Bullsof South Florida Bulls, Memphis Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,564 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf28e…cab2backed Memphis Tigers19c7,642$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.0521636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked South Florida Bulls67c5,977$4,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.114,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Memphis Tigers29c4,875$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.065,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Memphis Tigers25c3,550$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.4289645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed South Florida Bulls73c3,346$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.8529845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked South Florida Bulls71c3,053$2,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.315,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Memphis Tigers24c2,466$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.7649747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked South Florida Bulls72c2,324$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6491,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked South Florida Bulls78c2,320$1,814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.0227450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Memphis Tigers27c2,310$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.9555532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Memphis Tigers4c2,277$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.231837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked South Florida Bulls72c2,222$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.162,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Memphis Tigers24c2,161$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.771,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Memphis Tigers28c2,128$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.7724847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Memphis Tigers21c2,030$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.074,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Memphis Tigers23c2,000$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.533,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Memphis Tigers25c1,960$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.872,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fdcbacked South Florida Bulls75c1,939$1,454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.81580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Memphis Tigers22c1,790$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.2436535.9%131 W · 234 L+1.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Memphis Tigers4c1,738$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.212,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Memphis Tigers29c1,529$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.295341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked South Florida Bulls71c1,442$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.441,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Memphis Tigers21c1,242$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.613,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Memphis Tigers27c1,163$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.652,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed South Florida Bulls75c1,095$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.6913343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked South Florida Bulls73c1,069$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.9612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Memphis Tigers27c922.56$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.425837.6%97 W · 161 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Memphis Tigers27c905.02$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.314551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c1…36c8backed South Florida Bulls74c816.97$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.411241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked South Florida Bulls72c734.48$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.6521646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed South Florida Bulls78c629.79$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.3793247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Memphis Tigers19c605.72$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.091,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Memphis Tigers4c598.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.461,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Memphis Tigers27c567.49$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1362140.4%251 W · 370 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x985f…7a5bbacked South Florida Bulls60c454.48$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.349051.1%46 W · 44 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Memphis Tigers14c439.6$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.816436%59 W · 105 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked South Florida Bulls75c397.38$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.341850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Memphis Tigers4c305.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.224951.8%129 W · 120 L+19.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed South Florida Bulls79c285$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.573,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Memphis Tigers40c276.66$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.662,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed South Florida Bulls72c275.82$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-53.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked South Florida Bulls73c250$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.9316243.8%71 W · 91 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Memphis Tigers25c242.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1377142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed South Florida Bulls72c230.56$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9149157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Memphis Tigers27c216.68$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.631,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Memphis Tigers29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Memphis Tigers24c198.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6938837.6%146 W · 242 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Memphis Tigers30c198.53$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.561,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked South Florida Bulls79c198.25$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.961,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed South Florida Bulls65c192.43$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2693447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed South Florida Bulls70c180.78$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.151,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Memphis Tigers28c158.53$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.391,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4e…2ec7backed Memphis Tigers31c148.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.153148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Memphis Tigers26c147.44$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0212141.3%50 W · 71 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick31cpaid+40.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed South Florida Bulls66c145.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4481528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked South Florida Bulls71c139.78$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.535646.6%166 W · 190 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Memphis Tigers28c130.02$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4143053.3%229 W · 201 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Memphis Tigers21c122.31$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6533445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Memphis Tigers20c110.93$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6330945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Memphis Tigers24c109.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.911,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Memphis Tigers25c107.67$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8220234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed South Florida Bulls74c102.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.22462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fc0…8f18backed Memphis Tigers27c101.29$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7911840.7%48 W · 70 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3020…bc04backed Memphis Tigers28c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.516755.7%93 W · 74 L+10.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Memphis Tigers19c91.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.431,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed South Florida Bulls71c85.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.662,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked South Florida Bulls72c82.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.174,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked South Florida Bulls62c81.58$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3112153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Memphis Tigers27c76.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.951,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d51…7317backed Memphis Tigers26c76.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.872133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff73…35ccbacked Memphis Tigers26c76.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.875650%28 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…b68dbacked Memphis Tigers28c70.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.861631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d8f…2b46backed South Florida Bulls73c69.68$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.89785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick74cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Memphis Tigers26c58.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5164647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed South Florida Bulls74c55.64$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4722950.7%116 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Memphis Tigers30c53.61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9220834.6%72 W · 136 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x005b…2947backed South Florida Bulls75c52.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.251060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed Memphis Tigers28c50.67$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0318230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed South Florida Bulls61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.58342.2%35 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Memphis Tigers28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1433445.8%153 W · 181 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6483…750abacked Memphis Tigers26c49.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.918834.1%30 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba2b…0c59backed Memphis Tigers26c46.85$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf58…711fbacked Memphis Tigers27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.966253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Memphis Tigers28c39.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1257335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed South Florida Bulls76c37.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2760954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Memphis Tigers42c34.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5229954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Memphis Tigers39c32.72$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.783046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked South Florida Bulls75c29.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4369350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb500…426fbacked South Florida Bulls72c27.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.725759.6%34 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…21e7backed South Florida Bulls73c27.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.35580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed South Florida Bulls70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd3…bd7fbacked South Florida Bulls75c19.89$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.973554.3%19 W · 16 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick70cpaid-22.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed South Florida Bulls71c19.86$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.763250%16 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed South Florida Bulls75c17.54$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4557655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed South Florida Bulls72c13.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.895844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.