South American Leagues · resolved market
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x379778973f5b730e1d56a21e9f970039003597fb2bdf6b3156191a3a1c6c618a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Yes | 54c | 22,102$11,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,266.05 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +112%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Yes | 69c | 10,663$7,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,277.9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Yes | 48c | 9,804$4,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,090.65 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 33c | 8,519$2,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,804.43 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 32c | 4,958$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.53 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 44c | 4,808$2,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.08 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes | 68c | 4,722$3,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.59 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Yes | 77c | 4,551$3,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.17 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 44c | 3,539$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.8 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed No | 20c | 3,427$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.15 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 13c | 3,258$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.47 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked No | 15c | 3,212$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.85 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -5.4wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 3,208$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.04 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed No | 18c | 3,094$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.97 | 101 | 28.7%29 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Yes | 69c | 2,850$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.5 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…9435backed Yes | 75c | 2,604$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.14 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15e…b828backed Yes | 68c | 2,544$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b8…e424backed No | 17c | 2,508$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 32c | 2,210$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.48 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 45c | 2,207$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.54 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 40c | 2,000$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.31 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 18c | 1,768$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.87 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e75…80ffbacked Yes | 75c | 1,545$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 55c | 1,539$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.39 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 30c | 1,324$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.22 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 68c | 1,294$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.01 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c6…b27bbacked No | 18c | 1,264$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked Yes | 61c | 1,146$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.89 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 970.28$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.39 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 33c | 937.99$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 70c | 863.38$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.38 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked Yes | 76c | 850.45$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.39 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Yes | 60c | 813.18$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.72 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 36c | 810.31$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.61 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 31c | 733.04$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.58 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dc…d577backed No | 32c | 706.51$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.32 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 70c | 687.17$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.22 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 35c | 673.52$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.52 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 30c | 604.62$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.39 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 36c | 574.2$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.89 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 17c | 562.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.69 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 27c | 553.69$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 31c | 546.88$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.26 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 22c | 539.76$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.58 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8969…2a77backed Yes | 69c | 496.87$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 42c | 472.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.26 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 5c | 463.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Yes | 41c | 452.78$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.14 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 41c | 448.73$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.93 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 32c | 438.52$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.41 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…75a6backed Yes | 68c | 411.76$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.76 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Yes | 62c | 403.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.22 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 46c | 391.37$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.9 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Yes | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 31c | 343.79$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 31c | 335.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.28 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 58c | 323.05$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.15 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c7…808fbacked Yes | 69c | 320$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.2 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x275c…349cbacked Yes | 66c | 303.01$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…2b25backed No | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 10c | 288.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed No | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 57c | 270.58$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68f8…12c8backed Yes | 69c | 268.12$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed No | 58c | 251.55$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Yes | 66c | 249.43$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 39c | 249.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…8b4cbacked Yes | 43c | 239.44$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.34 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bc…31fbbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Yes | 60c | 230.38$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd623…e35fbacked No | 32c | 213.8$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85ac…fce6backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 34c | 180$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.51 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 47c | 170$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.05 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 42c | 160.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x294f…eeabbacked Yes | 44c | 159.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 31c | 148.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 32c | 145.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 69c | 144.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa0…0d93backed Yes | 69c | 142.06$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.04 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 42c | 140$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.27 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9503…1fd2backed Yes | 56c | 131.49$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed No | 32c | 130.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed No | 32c | 124.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 48c | 120$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 41c | 102.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed No | 34c | 100.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.33 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Yes | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 69cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef80…7fcdbacked Yes | 45c | 99.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 69c | 89.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 28c | 88.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.53 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 14c | 86.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…affdbacked Yes | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…0900backed Yes | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked No | 22c | 72.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-18?this page
- Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-18?No won
- Will São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.