South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x369c0425e1d9555c90379156c14839ea72660694ffcaba103320e52cfcfcb037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Under | 57c | 20,575$11,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,894.69 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 10,036$4,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,290.98 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 43c | 5,127$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.58 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 65c | 2,155$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.26 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 35c | 1,158$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.73 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 58c | 1,135$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.96 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 33c | 954.51$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.3 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Over | 43c | 673.81$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 37c | 614.03$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.44 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 43c | 591.07$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.16 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 43c | 482.9$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.65 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa00…f736backed Over | 60c | 474.36$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 21c | 453.89$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 43c | 411.64$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 26c | 400.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.13 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 396.44$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.41 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Under | 58c | 363.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.88 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 38c | 287.25$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.86 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 258.47$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf01…6e5bbacked Over | 31c | 247.14$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0764…41d1backed Over | 42c | 229.74$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 43c | 217.73$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 37c | 214$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 63c | 199.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.31 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 46c | 192.89$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…75a6backed Over | 63c | 155.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 74c | 137.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…e926backed Over | 42c | 137.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.42per pick | 59cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 37c | 106.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 71c | 105.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.16 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc455…1532backed Over | 42c | 99.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Over | 43c | 98.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.23per pick | 56cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 37c | 84.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 29c | 78.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 63c | 76.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Over | 42c | 71.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Over | 43c | 67.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c65…6b11backed Under | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 43c | 59.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 52c | 55.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -5.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 63c | 46.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Over | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 19cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 62c | 39.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 37c | 38.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.24 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb446…2daabacked Under | 63c | 32.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 37c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Over | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Over | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817a…0a90backed Over | 70c | 29.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2494…17b3backed Over | 42c | 28.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Over | 69c | 28.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 36c | 28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 68c | 25.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 70c | 25.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Over | 43c | 24.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 47c | 24.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef79…9003backed Over | 57c | 20.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65ca…41ddbacked Over | 63c | 19.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 68c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 79c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5this page
- CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.