South American Leagues · resolved market
CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd0db06187aefa11f31df621196dd2552d9d849ba7f7b0288b674a9b92547ee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d9c…4695backed Yes | 49c | 2,935$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 2,511$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,102.9 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 52c | 1,382$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.48 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 45c | 603.84$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.73 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 50c | 599.29$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.68 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 593.26$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.99 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 495.07$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.06 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 52c | 373.48$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 31c | 299$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 294.29$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.75 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 264.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d0…97debacked No | 59c | 247.98$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477b…f7c5backed Yes | 53c | 193.18$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…c8a2backed Yes | 52c | 184.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.85 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 44c | 118.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 53c | 112.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…ce4abacked Yes | 47c | 102.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…337bbacked Yes | 19c | 100.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 41c | 93.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…99febacked Yes | 37c | 82.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac9…14e8backed Yes | 35c | 82.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 42c | 76.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…33efbacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…2e04backed No | 57c | 59.76$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 45c | 53.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed No | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e3…05e1backed Yes | 32c | 44.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 52c | 43.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.17 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed No | 55c | 40.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…720bbacked Yes | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…a1f7backed Yes | 52c | 34.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 52c | 32.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2119…9303backed Yes | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 23.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3229…4299backed Yes | 44c | 22.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf75b…ed74backed No | 54c | 20.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA Boca Juniors (-1.5)CA River Plate won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA Boca Juniors won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-2.5)CA Boca Juniors won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.