TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,357
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,357 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Over40c7,559$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,564.421,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under58c6,972$4,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,029.428,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…04fabacked Over25c4,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0001612.5%2 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under66c2,712$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7802,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over10c2,500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,25014727.2%40 W · 107 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Over61c2,141$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8352025%5 W · 15 L-5.5wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under39c1,250$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.51,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under38c1,228$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.661,43937.5%540 W · 899 L+4.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under39c1,061$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.91,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ef…e59abacked Under71c1,054$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.24714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.39per pick53cpaid-76%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb437…cfb3backed Under41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4102920.7%6 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over51c988.75$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.982,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over43c983.06$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.6220036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Over66c889.29$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.2110446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under48c863.84$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.2611817.8%21 W · 97 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-50.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.6511565.2%75 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over55c777.68$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.414626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over34c673.28$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.038833%29 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under77c650.91$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.165,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under46c642.41$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.897742.9%33 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Over60c598.85$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5424855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Under63c567.51$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.966561.5%40 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under45c527.78$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2311338.9%44 W · 69 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over27c518.17$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.2819135.1%67 W · 124 L+0.9wins0.00per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under38c471.16$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.045042%21 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under37c405.42$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.0110426.9%28 W · 76 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under70c391.74$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.422,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under24c367.86$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.875837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over79c359.72$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.224665.9%162 W · 84 L+26.2wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over27c347.68$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under24c342.71$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6510128.7%29 W · 72 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under33c301.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3510635.8%38 W · 68 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+106.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under69c290.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022049.1%108 W · 112 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Over31c289.87$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.012227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under47c278.24$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.663129%9 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+287.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Over40c259.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.97334.2%25 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over79c252.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.720665%134 W · 72 L+24.5wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+20.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa55a…75a6backed Over79c251.3$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.31580%12 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over32c247.85$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5428940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2983…4eb2backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7245…4b00backed Over63c227.18$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.074542.2%19 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under59c209.43$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8395155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under33c208.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.831,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Under59c207.94$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.3169453.5%371 W · 323 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8152…5b51backed Under62c204.84$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12712850%64 W · 64 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf61…1e34backed Over67c204.34$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.97650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7424956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under38c197.61$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0928851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Under58c188.34$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11060156.2%338 W · 263 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over38c176.34$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.332356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over66c173.05$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6951750.7%262 W · 255 L+28.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over44c166.3$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1326965.4%176 W · 93 L+48.9wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+40.5%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over37c166.1$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.6512940.3%52 W · 77 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3824…e756backed Under61c161.15$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.185356.6%30 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Over25c150$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.55236.5%19 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec1e…0d9cbacked Over70c148.04$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.021963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+19.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Over55c147$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.252650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over46c142.76$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4835046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under58c142$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8741262.1%256 W · 156 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under40c140.51$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8631136.7%114 W · 197 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over11c140$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.649341%202 W · 291 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81f8…4078backed Under64c134.69$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.193633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under64c134.44$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6972058.8%423 W · 297 L+29.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under44c132.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1348547.6%231 W · 254 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9930…696ebacked Under59c130.03$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7219040.5%77 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Under66c126.24$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8610618.9%20 W · 86 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2515768.2%107 W · 50 L+21.8wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+37.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x2dbe…7833backed Over28c121.42$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.421330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under40c121.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5351945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over62c118.09$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Under24c108.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.986412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over27c106.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0985220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x35a2…787dbacked Under47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed Over52c101.16$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.221938.8%85 W · 134 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3941654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc8…b4dabacked Over21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+24.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3715560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc39…398abacked Under34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342520%5 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under37c97.41$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0423056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over45c94.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.981,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Over75c91.67$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.925251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Under55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Over32c88.45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.992552%13 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+392.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over45c88.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6231355.6%174 W · 139 L+24.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Over66c86.18$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.649920.2%20 W · 79 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under17c83.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3318426.1%48 W · 136 L-0.5wins0.00per pick26cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under45c83.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3750643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under63c82.89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.591,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under40c82.6$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.311,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c8…20d5backed Over62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.652060%12 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over48c78.29$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.7133658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1ea8…b821backed Over61c76.96$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.996225.8%16 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+118.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Over54c76.6$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.527262.5%45 W · 27 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf236…2e36backed Over36c69.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over76c68.38$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.415646.4%26 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9900…5cc9backed Over56c68.35$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.86053.3%32 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over48c65.72$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.331,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2285…2aeabacked Under68c63.25$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.713327.3%9 W · 24 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xafd0…ebd0backed Under69c59.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.958139.5%32 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under44c58.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.091,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.