South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe35269864f1ba086ae120e05b60c3bd41203503aa85849d61ab25f6d0d8ccbbb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,130
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,130 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Over | 10c | 3,438$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.94 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 12c | 3,239$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.43 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbe…9013backed Over | 35c | 3,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 20c | 2,284$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.84 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over | 2c | 2,031$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Over | 1c | 1,503$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 290 | 37.9%110 W · 180 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…487dbacked Under | 72c | 1,480$1,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 66c | 1,428$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.86 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 12c | 1,340$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.24 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 1,151$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.62 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 65c | 999.83$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.94 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 35c | 961.29$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.45 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 34c | 828.6$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.68 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7356…04cfbacked Over | 36c | 805.56$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Under | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…21f7backed Under | 67c | 465$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.45 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 15c | 443.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.18 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…b9b3backed Over | 12c | 427.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…9507backed Over | 12c | 427.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 65c | 399.99$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 11c | 335.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 33c | 305.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 31c | 236.03$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 7c | 178$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 21c | 156.72$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1057…1636backed Over | 36c | 129.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 26c | 127.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 67c | 124.71$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.15 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 16c | 115.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 65c | 115.09$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Under | 67c | 111.94$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…6d8dbacked Over | 11c | 110.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 19c | 105.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 19c | 105.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 19c | 105.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 65c | 86.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Over | 33c | 86.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 29c | 68.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda9…91f6backed Over | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 21c | 62.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 79c | 62.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 33c | 60.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 33c | 60.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 79c | 57.2$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 31c | 55.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Over | 29c | 43.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…24b1backed Under | 66c | 31.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Under | 73c | 17.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5this page
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: Fluminense FC O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.