South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6cb5c9f36b114e019a914022f6fe8d3e529d5258b9000eede824ca5901da0160
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 1,953$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 42c | 1,724$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.34 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed No | 58c | 1,507$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.1 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf731…e5c2backed Yes | 45c | 942.22$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.22 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 20c | 769.4$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.6 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…219fbacked Yes | 41c | 475.61$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 455.18$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.44 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 55c | 426.64$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.65 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 18c | 400$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 129 | 33.3%43 W · 86 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 21c | 369.84$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.52 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 42c | 281.1$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.43 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 262.39$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.18 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +4.4wins | +0.44per pick | 46cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3062…4bc7backed Yes | 46c | 218.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 16c | 161.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 219 | 38.8%85 W · 134 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 25c | 133.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.83 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed No | 78c | 127.5$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.1 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 39c | 127.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 56c | 124.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 26c | 121.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.03 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Yes | 26c | 78.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.1 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 25c | 70.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.45 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 66.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 58c | 64.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 51.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…cb94backed No | 56c | 51.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…a9cbbacked Yes | 28c | 51.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 54c | 48.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…3ad2backed Yes | 40c | 48.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 59c | 48.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…fa5cbacked Yes | 46c | 46.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 58c | 45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 65c | 31.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed No | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 27.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.14 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b8…4a59backed No | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Yes | 44c | 23.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 56c | 22.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: Fluminense FC O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.