South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b8777bcf1861cb20572ef92a94bb2923e0fb8cc644d002ce47539eb28b6ad69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 74c | 4,121$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.12 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 27c | 3,748$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 59c | 902.78$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.68 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 5c | 767.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 175 | 40%70 W · 105 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 66c | 567.24$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.24 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Over | 60c | 518.74$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.24 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.5wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 62c | 418.51$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.48 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 61c | 335.49$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.65 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 38c | 315.94$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.04 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…9d93backed Over | 52c | 267.69$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.6wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +147.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 61c | 238.21$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.31 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5057…d8a4backed Under | 39c | 238.21$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 199$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.95 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 162.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 23c | 133$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 35c | 111.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 168 | 64.9%109 W · 59 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 26c | 107.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…2aeabacked Over | 35c | 105.66$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Over | 63c | 81.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1b…6399backed Over | 50c | 77.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…1cb2backed Over | 35c | 71.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 56c | 66.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…f598backed Under | 24c | 62.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Over | 77c | 56.76$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 133 | 73.7%98 W · 35 L | +22.2wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d54backed Over | 35c | 56.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Under | 39c | 46.15$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…8caabacked Over | 26c | 46.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Over | 36c | 44.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 60c | 44.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Over | 35c | 39.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed Under | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 61c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 40c | 29.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 40c | 25.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Under | 77c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Over | 62c | 20.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 63c | 16.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: Fluminense FC O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.