South American Leagues · resolved market
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bb19ed35b4af5fcb87fcc09c77d36a7de36997c3b0ab6b4d12887f84e9322f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 54c | 3,970$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.65 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 1c | 3,333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 2,103$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.32 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +118.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked Under | 51c | 1,461$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749 | 112 | 20.5%23 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 22c | 1,429$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 1,253$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.3 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 13c | 1,039$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf436…4591backed Over | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Under | 28c | 950$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…61c3backed Over | 74c | 888.16$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ef…e59abacked Under | 61c | 809.25$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -76%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 38c | 736.84$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 14c | 715.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Over | 55c | 639.37$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.48 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 52c | 605.48$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.01 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 53c | 576.99$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.53 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…3f77backed Over | 41c | 514.63$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.63 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 12c | 407.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 347.68$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.82 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 51c | 257.32$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 350 | 46.3%162 W · 188 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Under | 14c | 255.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 67c | 210.82$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 55c | 204.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 38c | 189.51$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.57 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 13c | 176$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 173.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 39c | 172.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 23c | 126$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 40c | 126$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed Over | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 42 | 81%34 W · 8 L | +12.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 34c | 88.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 29c | 79.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 33c | 57.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e9…99e6backed Under | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 30c | 56.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 37c | 50.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Over | 68c | 49.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 37c | 47.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 57c | 41.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 47c | 36.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 54c | 32.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 53c | 25.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 48c | 22.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7f…6d8dbacked Over | 54c | 22.03$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 0.5this page
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: CS Independiente Rivadavia O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: Fluminense FC O/U 0.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: CS Independiente Rivadavia (-2.5)Fluminense FC won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5)CS Independiente Rivadavia won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.