Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfd7072ce5829bcdf575d50a75f9b87f05d2669760b300c630a9e1764fce453e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof JD Gaming, Ninjas in Pyjamas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 59c | 23,324$13,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,761.36 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked JD Gaming | 41c | 21,648$8,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,772.58 | 559 | 55.8%312 W · 247 L | +50.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked JD Gaming | 41c | 1,709$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.71 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed JD Gaming | 39c | 1,279$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.23 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 59c | 899.76$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.86 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 48c | 617.26$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked JD Gaming | 36c | 566.61$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.69 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed JD Gaming | 40c | 496.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.83 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 404.85$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.91 | 212 | 49.1%104 W · 108 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 64c | 389.06$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked JD Gaming | 37c | 382.06$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.7 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1de…2898backed JD Gaming | 41c | 368.29$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 350$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 63c | 333.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…dfd8backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…a898backed JD Gaming | 55c | 278.18$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed JD Gaming | 53c | 270$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 45c | 230$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed JD Gaming | 41c | 195.12$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.12 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 191.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed JD Gaming | 39c | 165$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.65 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…d896backed JD Gaming | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked JD Gaming | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked JD Gaming | 64c | 117.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.96 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 114.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 66c | 111.49$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.17 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…f0cfbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 64c | 110$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked JD Gaming | 50c | 106.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.36 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed JD Gaming | 53c | 102.17$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked JD Gaming | 41c | 90$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed JD Gaming | 36c | 85.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…1fc8backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 81.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 63c | 63.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed JD Gaming | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 49.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 24c | 45.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 35c | 44.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed JD Gaming | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…5d14backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked JD Gaming | 46c | 34.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 1,239 | 37.3%462 W · 777 L | -39.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 403 | 65%262 W · 141 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked JD Gaming | 65c | 30.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked JD Gaming | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 62c | 26.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 46c | 25.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Ninjas in Pyjamas | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked JD Gaming | 52c | 24.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…cecfbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?JD Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.