Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x601d71eaaf7e009dec3187c6e1c2665e88547cc93052ea0436f40a4eb8d23c71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13b7…dfd8backed Over | 46c | 436.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Under | 54c | 371.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.7 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 43c | 306.8$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.14 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa467…587dbacked Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 61c | 270$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Over | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Over | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 55c | 129.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 41c | 116.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7210…4bb5backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f1…7eeabacked Under | 64c | 93.69$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x599a…ba90backed Under | 54c | 92.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.49 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 32c | 90.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…997cbacked Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Over | 35c | 75.72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 44c | 63.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 56c | 53.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…6ef9backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 35cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 612 | 56.2%344 W · 268 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 37c | 47.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 59c | 47.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143c…88b9backed Under | 68c | 44.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 56c | 36.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…d6d0backed Under | 59c | 32.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Under | 69c | 31.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56bd…e58dbacked Under | 60c | 30.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 286 | 55.9%160 W · 126 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 53c | 30.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 191 | 61.8%118 W · 73 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 73c | 23.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?JD Gaming won
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)JD Gaming won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.