Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonego
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf094ecf256443b64b60a6eb802e8b0f72ddd1996b77b6e333bc0ed9aa5c0bcd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Musetti, Sonego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Sonego | 28c | 19,201$5,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,376.31 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…be06backed Musetti | 72c | 15,537$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Musetti | 72c | 14,761$10,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.7 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sonego | 14c | 12,509$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.47 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…ef99backed Musetti | 75c | 6,750$5,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.68 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked Sonego | 26c | 5,435$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.87 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Musetti | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.99 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sonego | 28c | 4,535$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.1 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sonego | 26c | 4,188$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.92 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Sonego | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Musetti | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Sonego | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Sonego | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sonego | 7c | 1,991$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.58 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Musetti | 71c | 1,802$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Sonego | 28c | 1,763$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.03 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Sonego | 29c | 1,730$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.7 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x446e…0dbcbacked Musetti | 74c | 1,710$1,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Sonego | 29c | 1,577$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.33 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Musetti | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 926 | 55.9%518 W · 408 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Musetti | 72c | 1,425$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Musetti | 75c | 1,330$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.37 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sonego | 25c | 1,163$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.75 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Sonego | 24c | 1,157$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.7 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sonego | 29c | 1,156$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.32 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Sonego | 23c | 1,152$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.2 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Sonego | 28c | 1,095$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.63 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1660…9d86backed Musetti | 74c | 1,068$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.57 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…5f3fbacked Sonego | 28c | 1,013$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Sonego | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sonego | 24c | 938.29$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.59 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sonego | 9c | 930.13$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.4 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sonego | 22c | 902.3$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.43 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sonego | 22c | 794.91$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.11 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb2…6b94backed Sonego | 14c | 774.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sonego | 7c | 616$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…15e5backed Musetti | 72c | 592.61$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.93 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Musetti | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 146 | 63%92 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749f…714bbacked Musetti | 73c | 494.48$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.48 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sonego | 4c | 450$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Sonego | 28c | 428.57$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Musetti | 71c | 421.52$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.24 | 780 | 52.7%411 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca5…a81dbacked Musetti | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Sonego | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Sonego | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Sonego | 29c | 326$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Musetti | 71c | 308.26$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Musetti | 76c | 307.49$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.39 | 472 | 42.6%201 W · 271 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sonego | 18c | 303.94$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…c18cbacked Sonego | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…30fabacked Musetti | 71c | 283.22$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Musetti | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 1,836 | 48.4%889 W · 947 L | -32.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Musetti | 72c | 267$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Sonego | 27c | 244.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Sonego | 18c | 238.44$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.09 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Sonego | 17c | 235.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.48 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xba4f…7ecebacked Musetti | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Musetti | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 280 | 42.9%120 W · 160 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb405…c706backed Sonego | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…46e0backed Musetti | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…6e84backed Musetti | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Sonego | 5c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 78 | 3.8%3 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…8535backed Musetti | 71c | 180.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Musetti | 71c | 159$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.11 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Sonego | 7c | 156.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Musetti | 70c | 153.81$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…7102backed Musetti | 78c | 151.96$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Sonego | 7c | 148.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…4ec5backed Musetti | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa60…9b86backed Musetti | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked Musetti | 74c | 136.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Musetti | 69c | 136.09$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.19 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…5bc2backed Musetti | 74c | 136$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…e83abacked Musetti | 77c | 130.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Sonego | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf527…bbadbacked Musetti | 70c | 105$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Musetti | 72c | 102.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Musetti | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 136 | 58.8%80 W · 56 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182f…87d2backed Musetti | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 53 | 69.8%37 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Sonego | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 182 | 47.3%86 W · 96 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Musetti | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Musetti | 73c | 95.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.89 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sonego | 22c | 92.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Sonego | 28c | 87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fa…cecfbacked Musetti | 70c | 85.8$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Musetti | 74c | 83$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed Musetti | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…5988backed Sonego | 27c | 79.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Sonego | 27c | 75.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5594…06ebbacked Sonego | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed Sonego | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…734cbacked Musetti | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 284 | 62.3%177 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee4…4b3ebacked Sonego | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9004…1d2cbacked Sonego | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…b219backed Sonego | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c37…9b8cbacked Musetti | 74c | 68.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…bb66backed Musetti | 73c | 68.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Musetti | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Musetti | 75c | 66.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce0…beaebacked Sonego | 28c | 65.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonegothis page
- Musetti vs. Sonego: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Musetti vs. Sonego: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs SonegoMusetti won
- Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Sonego (+1.5)Musetti won
- Set Handicap: Musetti (-2.5) vs Sonego (+2.5)Musetti won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.