Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73bf83d4f7114cae3898322dd9e450980b5c533eb379f3e472413e9d554c793a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,155
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,392
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,155 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,272$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.36 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 38c | 512.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.94 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…573fbacked No | 60c | 372.96$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.05 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 42c | 253.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.89 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 32c | 251.56$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.69 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 54c | 231.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 213.84$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.93 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 45c | 191.28$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 39c | 182.8$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 63c | 137.19$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 56c | 133.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 42c | 131.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 38c | 126.1$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 67c | 122.17$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 74c | 118.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 56c | 101.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…e1b0backed Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 26c | 98.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 47c | 98.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.3 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…14e9backed Yes | 53c | 98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 44c | 84.95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.38 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 59c | 81.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…55c4backed No | 36c | 81.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 33c | 77.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…0c43backed Yes | 39c | 74.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fd…59aebacked Yes | 20c | 72.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 60c | 65.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbe99…9ca7backed Yes | 44c | 64.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.24 | 669 | 26.2%175 W · 494 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…b156backed Yes | 45c | 63.12$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 44c | 61.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 32c | 57.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 43c | 56.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5e…a8cfbacked No | 60c | 55.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 49c | 53.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 70c | 49.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1066…09c1backed Yes | 69c | 49.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 49c | 48.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 40c | 47.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 47c | 46.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e3…cda2backed Yes | 68c | 45.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed Yes | 43c | 44.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013a…e374backed Yes | 44c | 44.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…4c59backed Yes | 41c | 43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 45c | 42.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce5d…5b70backed Yes | 33c | 42.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 43c | 42.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4215backed Yes | 45c | 42.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 55c | 42.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 58c | 41.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 44c | 41.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 48c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed Yes | 45c | 40.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…d923backed Yes | 45c | 40.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 46c | 39.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…7007backed Yes | 39c | 38.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 59c | 38.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…0ef1backed Yes | 42c | 38.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked No | 60c | 38.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…7bc6backed No | 60c | 37.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eea…00c5backed No | 60c | 35.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 46c | 32.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 58c | 32.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…20f8backed No | 55c | 30.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 47c | 30.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ce…7f30backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 160 | 65.6%105 W · 55 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 48c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…1542backed Yes | 44c | 29.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…e888backed Yes | 66c | 29.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…fd22backed No | 67c | 28.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…6291backed Yes | 44c | 28.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 54c | 26.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 57c | 25.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 61c | 23.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…c61bbacked No | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…4ac3backed Yes | 63c | 21.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 57c | 21.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 68c | 21.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…ac89backed Yes | 50c | 20.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x625f…5c20backed No | 58c | 20.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 96 | 66.7%64 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…3003backed No | 55c | 20.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a4…f990backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 60c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…2b6bbacked Yes | 56c | 19.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 130 | 81.5%106 W · 24 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 56c | 19.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…c875backed No | 57c | 18.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…ace3backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 15?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.