Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16391b6b082db2b2c81ee34be997283f6968b94715ad1e679346dbd1b6410e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6400…331abacked Yes | 35c | 933.55$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.92 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 45c | 534.46$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.4 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 20c | 494.59$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.07 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabef…dbc9backed No | 5c | 462.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 50c | 445.13$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.59 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 56c | 372.5$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfa…1542backed Yes | 78c | 318.85$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 82 | 39%32 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 8c | 289.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 18c | 271.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.2 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 65c | 224.66$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.48 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 52c | 224.16$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.41 | 140 | 25.7%36 W · 104 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 26c | 198.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.98 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 23c | 194.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.48 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…5fb7backed Yes | 27c | 166.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…31a3backed Yes | 20c | 152$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.84 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…573fbacked No | 75c | 142.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.95 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…5a2bbacked Yes | 27c | 122.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.37 | 84 | 17.9%15 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 51c | 118.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 23c | 105$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8596…34c2backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 26c | 82.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.7 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…aff0backed Yes | 23c | 77.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 80c | 69.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 64c | 62.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.08 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 40c | 60.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c0…b4b9backed Yes | 29c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 241 | 9.5%23 W · 218 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd384…130ebacked Yes | 25c | 59.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 75c | 57.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…889fbacked Yes | 36c | 57.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 405 | 25.2%102 W · 303 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…e1b0backed Yes | 79c | 56.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…34c4backed Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 292 | 81.5%238 W · 54 L | +27.9wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 43c | 52.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f8…2734backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 313 | 41.5%130 W · 183 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dcf…c0f2backed Yes | 30c | 49.96$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 167 | 9%15 W · 152 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7431…be26backed Yes | 28c | 49.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879e…e339backed Yes | 21c | 48.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…10fabacked Yes | 28c | 47.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 67c | 47.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff9…bf35backed Yes | 29c | 46.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc22…9431backed Yes | 22c | 46.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +360.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5d…5b70backed Yes | 65c | 46.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…43c2backed Yes | 28c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 33c | 44.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…0a7ebacked Yes | 29c | 43.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe0…919ebacked Yes | 79c | 43.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…4c59backed Yes | 36c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 61c | 41.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 54c | 41.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,061 | 47.9%508 W · 553 L | +32.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b1…3190backed No | 72c | 39.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 73c | 38.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…b6aabacked No | 75c | 32.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94a6…0cd5backed No | 72c | 32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 60c | 29.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 61c | 28.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed No | 38c | 28.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed Yes | 37c | 28.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 56c | 28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8246…1a44backed No | 74c | 26.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…86b1backed No | 74c | 25.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59ec…3dd8backed No | 72c | 24.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -63%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…875bbacked No | 73c | 23.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…07a5backed No | 65c | 23.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 247 | 68.4%169 W · 78 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e82…dfe5backed Yes | 61c | 23.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x512c…17d5backed No | 74c | 22.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 73c | 22.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 74c | 21.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 763 | 71.4%545 W · 218 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 56c | 21.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd088…a3eabacked No | 68c | 19.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…0053backed Yes | 77c | 18.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 73c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed No | 72c | 17.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed No | 73c | 17.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 182 | 42.3%77 W · 105 L | -19.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed No | 74c | 17.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…d923backed No | 75c | 17.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -12.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a9…3003backed No | 74c | 16.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 67c | 15.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8a62…ace3backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1efd…2cbdbacked No | 71c | 14.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 15?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 92°F or higher on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on April 15?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.