South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x917ce1a825398dbef13330f3a947a9508b98aa43f60173cafa46e1824aba44c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 7,057$3,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,365.87 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 46c | 4,479$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.22 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 46c | 3,700$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,998 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 3,180$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.05 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 26c | 2,713$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.32 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 2,150$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.79 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 74c | 1,385$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.01 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb4…f89dbacked No | 72c | 980$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 64c | 921$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.44 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 24c | 678.32$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.56 | 113 | 23.9%27 W · 86 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 64c | 644.69$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.6 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 28c | 582.79$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 78c | 508.96$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 73c | 462.84$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 57c | 453.84$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.09 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 75c | 405$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 363.27$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 49c | 276.63$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 73c | 253.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 29c | 180$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 6c | 173.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 30c | 166.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed No | 45c | 165.32$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 28c | 160$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 35c | 147.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.13 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 76c | 141.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 23c | 140.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 135.59$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 30c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Yes | 27c | 104.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 101.97$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed No | 69c | 97.98$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Yes | 28c | 80.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…d9dbbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 57c | 63.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 43c | 63.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 145 | 70.3%102 W · 43 L | +22.6wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 56.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 72c | 51.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 38.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Yes | 64c | 30.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 45c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked No | 74c | 26.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 53c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-02-25?this page
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-02-25?Yes won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.