Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3514dba070ce36306c7b852c964254027faa40f50c7900f058470a734c51b25c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,803
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,803 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 25c | 1,967$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 17c | 1,249$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.14 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 75c | 708.44$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.11 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 651.2$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.07 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 22c | 578.21$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.64 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 1,719 | 48.5%833 W · 886 L | -18.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 471.36$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.2 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 227.17$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 1,156 | 53%613 W · 543 L | +43.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 5c | 220$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 76c | 202.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 74c | 180$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…0ce5backed Yes | 41c | 179.87$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 177.36$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 21c | 173.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 135.84$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 1,111 | 47.9%532 W · 579 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 119.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 1,001 | 53.3%534 W · 467 L | +23.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 107.63$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 2,361 | 46.8%1,106 W · 1,255 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 76c | 99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 98.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Yes | 25c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 872 | 50.2%438 W · 434 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 32c | 67.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 193 | 64.8%125 W · 68 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 21c | 64.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 70c | 58.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked No | 77c | 58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 53.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 792 | 50.1%397 W · 395 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed No | 80c | 53$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -5.9wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed No | 79c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes | 30c | 41.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1e…945cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 33.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…9476backed No | 79c | 33.71$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 64c | 32.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Yes | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 45c | 30.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 76c | 29.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked No | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 72 | 76.4%55 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 63c | 17.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked No | 79c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.