Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1ca1870ab8c3d207e88463635b83527c25f8b29b58a180d5469b3ab9d9d50aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,697
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,697 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 23c | 4,324$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,324.33 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 3,038$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.61 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,190$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,751.67 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 2,177$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.49 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 53c | 1,761$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.8 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 1,390$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.51 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 10c | 1,170$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.42 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 888.58$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.09 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 769.7$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.98 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 79c | 500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 77c | 500$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 20c | 474.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.54 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 80c | 470$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.22 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 30c | 401.91$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +287.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 77c | 375$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.75 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked No | 80c | 330$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 317.69$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.36 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 250$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 57c | 223.18$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 36c | 208.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 77c | 180$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 51c | 145.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 73c | 132.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 68c | 131.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked No | 26c | 130.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 33c | 125$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 80c | 116.24$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 73c | 101.2$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 70c | 95.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 70c | 72.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 31c | 70.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 22c | 68.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Yes | 46c | 64.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 22c | 61.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 37c | 60.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.04 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 55c | 59.96$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 75c | 53.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 48c | 52.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 20c | 51.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.24 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aee…bddfbacked Yes | 66c | 30.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…fbedbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 80.8%21 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Estoril Praia vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.