Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c31f5982256125559f264bc5fa5a45f4b6689f4e438ac0b5d106caa7df4e2b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,108
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,108 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,749.99 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Yes | 55c | 4,006$2,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.97 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 2,626$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.08 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,197$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.8 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 56c | 2,131$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,193.61 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 36c | 892.7$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.36 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 45c | 684.38$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.41 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 31c | 680.86$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.99 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 678.76$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.94 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 45c | 589.91$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.39 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 564.73$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.1 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 52c | 486.86$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.56 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked No | 45c | 439.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +205.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked No | 46c | 431.7$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +52%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 54c | 385.18$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 55c | 333.33$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.33 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 49c | 324.11$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 57c | 319.3$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 54c | 243.48$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.48 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 55c | 234.4$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 45c | 211.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.34 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 44c | 203.52$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.5 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 32c | 193.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.77 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 23c | 157.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Yes | 54c | 148.91$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.41 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 39c | 139.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.92 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 125$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.75 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…0662backed Yes | 35c | 108.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.39per pick | 52cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 55c | 108$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 98.6$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Yes | 55c | 97.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed No | 47c | 90.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 88.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.84 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed No | 34c | 83.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 26c | 82.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 41c | 79.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 13c | 77.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 55c | 62.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 62$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 46c | 60.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 52.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed No | 45c | 43.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 46c | 43.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Yes | 55c | 42.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 71c | 39.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 212 | 56.6%120 W · 92 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 55c | 37.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 42c | 34.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e8d0backed Yes | 73c | 33.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 45c | 32.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 80c | 31.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Yes | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a6…1afebacked Yes | 56c | 29.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked No | 45c | 24.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 70c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Yes | 53c | 20.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e69…6e36backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6460…84efbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Estoril Praia vs. Rio Ave FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.