Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC København win on 2026-02-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ca69da161eef09bf57e9489b659f525872467973a2259e4d20c4043aff45d6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 52c | 2,467$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,287.45 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 20c | 1,975$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.51 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 1,720$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,249$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.93 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 45c | 739.61$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.82 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 627.54$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.27 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 4c | 547.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked Yes | 3c | 499.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 449.42$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.01 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 45c | 377.67$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.72 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 54c | 358.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.24 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 339$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 46c | 300$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.53 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 53c | 295.79$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Yes | 51c | 292.16$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked No | 46c | 217.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…8c92backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Yes | 56c | 96.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 55c | 63.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 36c | 42.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed4…0cf7backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Yes | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes | 52c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC København win on 2026-02-21?this page
- Will Odense BK vs. FC København end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Odense BK win on 2026-02-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.