Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x15e3215464e5371e2c76e61299a2738a8ec61de612259cbdb44369bc4c9916c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 51c | 4,627$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.89 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 48c | 3,494$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.95 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.93 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 49c | 1,963$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.49 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 1,687$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 1,392$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.56 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked No | 48c | 1,380$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.74 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 52c | 1,238$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.49 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,206$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.86 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed No | 50c | 1,184$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.21 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Yes | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 51c | 863.46$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 49c | 724.6$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.76 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -8.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 71c | 687.4$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.74 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 52c | 677.6$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.35 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 48c | 665.61$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.12 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 32c | 628.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 554.15$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…1484backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 42c | 476.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 51c | 455.01$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.82 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 50c | 395$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 376.57$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.67 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 40c | 338$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.08 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 244.91$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.8 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Yes | 36c | 233.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked No | 61c | 228.98$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 50c | 218.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.42 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 35c | 215.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.15 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 50c | 205.04$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…47aabacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked Yes | 25c | 182.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 52c | 148.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.46 | 284 | 46.1%131 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 16c | 140$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…6818backed No | 78c | 126.92$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 108.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 67c | 101.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 51c | 99.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…f6c3backed Yes | 52c | 98.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 51c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Yes | 52c | 96.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…148ebacked Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 53c | 94.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4325…20efbacked Yes | 37c | 64.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 64.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 51c | 63.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 81 | 25.9%21 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 59.16$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdc…8e06backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b8…898abacked Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…b669backed Yes | 49c | 56.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 71c | 55.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked No | 48c | 54.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 40.5%87 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b9…8714backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed No | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked No | 48c | 49.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 66c | 49.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 49c | 48.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Yes | 51c | 48.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 51c | 37.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 41c | 26.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 25.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Rio Ave FC vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.