Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Rio Ave FC vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x094287024b979e2fb629f4064929783e5faee43d33e0316a3e16ba52745b18cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,489
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 26c | 7,261$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,373.48 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 11c | 3,250$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.49 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 1,686$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 11c | 1,523$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked No | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 1,352$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.15 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 15c | 1,081$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.27 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 10c | 1,017$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 63c | 687.28$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.43 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed No | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 520.71$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.11 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 26c | 499.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.99 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 30c | 499.98$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed No | 74c | 422.97$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.99 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 74c | 300$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 43c | 257.26$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.62 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0aa…6818backed No | 44c | 223.67$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 28c | 185.36$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked No | 35c | 161.49$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 74c | 150$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 145$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.3 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 74c | 135$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 74c | 115$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 99.59$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.38 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked No | 23c | 96.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 73c | 95.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Yes | 27c | 92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 65c | 91.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed No | 74c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 74c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 85.82$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 25c | 76.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 58c | 73.09$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 27c | 64.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.31 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…3695backed Yes | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 31c | 55.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes | 52c | 48.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked No | 23c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…8f98backed Yes | 48c | 41.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 30.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…fcd4backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 65cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rio Ave FC vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-03-01?No won
- Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.