South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0faeca768aef1ecb6d4feb5155bd09f5cdc35d12f4231095830ce874513de4e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,407
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 32c | 1,006$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.53 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…efa4backed No | 59c | 861.02$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 669.86$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.75 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 27c | 639.75$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.02 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 513.15$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.67 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 74c | 270.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 54c | 266.06$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.67 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 63c | 201$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 40c | 187.5$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 172.14$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.19 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 169.85$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.39 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 36c | 167$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.68 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 138.43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.13 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 121.29$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6baf…e76bbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 20c | 85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 32c | 79.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 76c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 35c | 55.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45f…f4d8backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.85 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 40c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked No | 64c | 18.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-28?No won
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.