South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf37ec3ee394794b76da864792b4b54bf214a2a1ff7dce8739ea47a69017c5ec3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Yes | 16c | 10,063$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 14c | 6,360$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.17 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 22c | 1,250$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.1 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 18c | 1,084$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 835.07$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.57 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 10c | 681.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.31 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 19c | 328$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 13c | 308.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfc…a589backed Yes | 16c | 306.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6429…573fbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…af3cbacked Yes | 18c | 275.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 17c | 236$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 21c | 234.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 20c | 220.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 256 | 25%64 W · 192 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 17c | 212.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 21c | 180$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 20c | 157.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.45 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae5…f4cabacked Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 21c | 150.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 21c | 148.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 18c | 138.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6229…1743backed Yes | 16c | 133$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb80a…1a43backed Yes | 18c | 114.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 20c | 111.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…1363backed Yes | 17c | 111.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Yes | 16c | 106.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 15c | 103.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed No | 79c | 103.24$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0a…7858backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…e838backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce6…f2e7backed Yes | 24c | 83.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 76c | 77.1$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 20c | 77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 19c | 71.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed No | 79c | 71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 22c | 49.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 79c | 42.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 80c | 35.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 77c | 21.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-11?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.