South American Leagues · resolved market
Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb07ef21525d89dc333211a8f789fff2ecc295aa7f844a5e2c1c7505b84ef276f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,451
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,451 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 51c | 8,989$4,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,594.75 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 6,343$3,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.51 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 53c | 5,660$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.83 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 32c | 2,874$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,954.02 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 68c | 2,776$1,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.51 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed No | 40c | 2,072$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.37 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 63c | 1,486$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.15 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 68c | 1,300$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 33c | 900$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 6c | 796.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 571.17$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.52 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 68c | 412.73$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.84 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 382.02$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.28 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 42c | 362.06$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.06 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed No | 46c | 326.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 5c | 240.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 48c | 238.77$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.69 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 33c | 234$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.78 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 32c | 224.93$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.95 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 63c | 170.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ea…95d1backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 67c | 166.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 56c | 150.76$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 59c | 148.34$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed No | 40c | 146$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 38c | 145.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 33c | 129.29$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.62 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 126.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked No | 30c | 123.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 126 | 45.2%57 W · 69 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 33c | 120$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 61c | 111.76$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 34c | 110$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 13c | 99.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 60c | 93.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 57c | 89.23$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 32c | 84.75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 235 | 42.1%99 W · 136 L | -13.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6429…573fbacked Yes | 53c | 81.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 34c | 65.34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked No | 30c | 60.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -9.5wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 30c | 55.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed No | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 34c | 51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 30c | 45.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Yes | 53c | 45.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 33c | 39.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 33c | 37.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 33c | 35.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Yes | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed No | 67c | 28.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 27.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…5d9abacked Yes | 59c | 20.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?this page
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-03-11?No won
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2026-03-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.