La Liga · resolved market
Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-03-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a027b757e6a3e609569d483b548497cfab817355247f770fd67a2c7d2743f88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,773 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 5c | 2,569$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.58 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 5c | 1,824$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.8 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 8c | 1,807$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.74 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 13c | 1,191$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.72 | 118 | 20.3%24 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked No | 3c | 875$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 718.22$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.6 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 348.01$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.3 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 30c | 231.54$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.08 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b83…66a2backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 9c | 153.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 143.68$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a89…9e42backed Yes | 28c | 115.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 30c | 77.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbb…4ca9backed Yes | 30c | 67.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +36%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 27c | 66.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x631c…7bfebacked No | 19c | 65.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32aa…0c01backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 47.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 38.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 29c | 37.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ae…5c25backed Yes | 29c | 36.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…a9cabacked No | 72c | 26.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 72cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked No | 69c | 25.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 46c | 25.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked No | 73c | 21.41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-03-13?this page
- Will CD Mirandés vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-03-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.