Euroleague · resolved market
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5476cb66bcbb10e5cccdcde1e834e12089c9d793c0ab729c4ff9bed68c48ec9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shenzhen Leopardsof Jilin Northeast Tigers, Shenzhen Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,526
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 19c | 1,867$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.78 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 27c | 1,057$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.73 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 16c | 999.43$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.87 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…06dcbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 17c | 800$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 25c | 795.52$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.4 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 19c | 587.29$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 18c | 571.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 16c | 445.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.02 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.6 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 16c | 399.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 18c | 303.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…6ad7backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 16c | 215.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 255 | 17.6%45 W · 210 L | -29.4wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 30c | 212.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 79c | 200.69$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Shenzhen Leopards | 79c | 200.11$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.82 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Shenzhen Leopards | 79c | 188.2$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 173.05$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Shenzhen Leopards | 80c | 170.31$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Shenzhen Leopards | 79c | 164.32$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Shenzhen Leopards | 75c | 138.46$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Shenzhen Leopards | 71c | 136.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Shenzhen Leopards | 76c | 131.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Shenzhen Leopards | 76c | 131.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…7340backed Shenzhen Leopards | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 73c | 116.44$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Shenzhen Leopards | 74c | 103.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.01 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 77c | 96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 18c | 89.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcddc…6863backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 17c | 82.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…a914backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 28c | 75.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 21c | 57.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…a5c3backed Shenzhen Leopards | 73c | 56.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 18c | 55.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -42%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d84…4b14backed Shenzhen Leopards | 75c | 45.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Shenzhen Leopards | 73c | 40.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Shenzhen Leopards | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Shenzhen Leopards | 74c | 39.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Shenzhen Leopards | 69c | 35.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Shenzhen Leopards | 74c | 29.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa478…2779backed Shenzhen Leopards | 78c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Shenzhen Leopards | 69c | 22.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Shenzhen Leopards | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Shenzhen Leopards | 74c | 19.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…7b14backed Shenzhen Leopards | 77c | 17.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…887ebacked Shenzhen Leopards | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Shenzhen Leopards | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Shenzhen Leopards | 77c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.