Tennis · resolved market
Alexander Zverev vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5de4d40bb1c9d0499f25ddeaa5a661745dac8597e7dbd7483cd31a1885a4b48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,931
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x27b0…fc67backed Over 2.5 | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 312 | 34.6%108 W · 204 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed Under 2.5 | 68c | 1,469$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.14 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 2.5 | 68c | 1,160$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.11 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over 2.5 | 31c | 964.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.03 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246d…c74dbacked Over 2.5 | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 180 | 53.9%97 W · 83 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Under 2.5 | 69c | 507.25$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.25 | 252 | 50%126 W · 126 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under 2.5 | 56c | 498.72$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.35 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over 2.5 | 35c | 313.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 287 | 24.4%70 W · 217 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e07…6a8ebacked Over 2.5 | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 91 | 44%40 W · 51 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under 2.5 | 67c | 299$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.68 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under 2.5 | 67c | 258.67$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.79 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a8…95b7backed Over 2.5 | 68c | 230.19$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b2…95ffbacked Over 2.5 | 33c | 220.1$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.63 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over 2.5 | 41c | 177.16$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over 2.5 | 34c | 151.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Under 2.5 | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Under 2.5 | 69c | 144.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x474e…b0fdbacked Over 2.5 | 31c | 125.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over 2.5 | 24c | 118.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Over 2.5 | 53c | 116.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under 2.5 | 67c | 99.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under 2.5 | 67c | 79.1$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over 2.5 | 32c | 72.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb6…ef3abacked Under 2.5 | 72c | 69.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Over 2.5 | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Under 2.5 | 80c | 52.66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a89…bb33backed Over 2.5 | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Under 2.5 | 22c | 52.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 167 | 18.6%31 W · 136 L | -23.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Over 2.5 | 32c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb15c…c161backed Over 2.5 | 33c | 31.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over 2.5 | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 733 | 50.9%373 W · 360 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed Under 2.5 | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Under 2.5 | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under 2.5 | 63c | 28.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under 2.5 | 59c | 27.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…1e2ebacked Under 2.5 | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…eda7backed Under 2.5 | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alexander Zverev vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5this page
- Miami Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik SinnerJannik Sinner won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs SinnerSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Sinner won
- Zverev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Zverev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Zverev vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Zverev vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.