Tennis · resolved market
Zverev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd49ce86863b2eff505d1e5622481c23189bff9203cd0419a2c21dd3c7654cbe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Over | 56c | 7,150$4,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.05 | 308 | 40.6%125 W · 183 L | -23.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 5,120$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.18 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Under | 44c | 3,029$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.68 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 48c | 1,963$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.24 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 1,876$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.93 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under | 45c | 1,856$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 44c | 1,265$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.6 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 44c | 1,081$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.51 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 998$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.44 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Under | 44c | 964.67$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Over | 52c | 887.99$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 775.08$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.67 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Over | 55c | 662.95$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.95 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 52c | 461.42$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.48 | 321 | 31.2%100 W · 221 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Over | 55c | 455.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.13 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over | 54c | 367.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.85 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 1,125 | 42.8%482 W · 643 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Under | 51c | 197.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Over | 53c | 187.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.51 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Under | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -59%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Under | 48c | 146.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.39 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 45c | 133$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Under | 48c | 120.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Under | 48c | 109.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…c520backed Over | 56c | 107.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 309 | 48.9%151 W · 158 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…ed22backed Under | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 184 | 47.3%87 W · 97 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Under | 50c | 99.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Over | 53c | 93.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 44c | 91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…e660backed Under | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Under | 44c | 70.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 228 | 47.4%108 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 44c | 68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 52c | 53.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 515 | 45.8%236 W · 279 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Under | 48c | 52.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…4e8dbacked Under | 50c | 50.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Under | 47c | 46.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 54c | 45.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Under | 50c | 44.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4175…87a0backed Over | 54c | 44.63$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 44c | 40.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 476 | 53.2%253 W · 223 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 150 | 48.7%73 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 594 | 66.7%396 W · 198 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…0321backed Under | 49c | 36.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 46c | 36.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 35.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 44c | 26.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…8932backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3712…36b2backed Over | 54c | 23.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Zverev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Alexander Zverev vs. Jannik Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Miami Open: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik SinnerJannik Sinner won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs SinnerSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Sinner won
- Zverev vs. Sinner: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Zverev vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Zverev vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.