NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6298f1b66c8e40d746eeab9231aaa501443ee7170b5cd2b278cfd380103c896e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,169
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5318…1118backed Under | 53c | 2,264$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 47c | 1,574$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.23 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 52c | 1,120$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.32 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 1,029$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.29 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,002$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.79 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 981.9$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.59 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 16c | 923.58$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 4c | 784.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 54c | 553$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 46c | 550.9$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.38 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 25c | 501.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 41c | 472.62$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.76 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…38f6backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 397.53$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 62c | 338.05$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.37 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 52c | 325.92$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.46 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 53c | 292.17$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.85 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 32c | 227.53$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 68c | 160.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.32 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 54c | 148.79$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.86 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 20c | 145$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked Over | 60c | 136.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.42 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 57c | 127.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Under | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 60 | 11.7%7 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 60c | 92.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.51 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 48c | 71.06$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 49c | 69.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 38c | 65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 58.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 52c | 50.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.03 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…394abacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 52c | 45.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 44c | 31.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 40c | 30.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 52c | 27.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 52c | 27.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 52c | 27.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 52c | 27.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 52c | 27.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 52c | 27.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c81…64c7backed Under | 52c | 25.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…c588backed Under | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f1…e480backed Over | 50c | 24.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x946a…fa56backed Over | 48c | 24.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…a920backed Under | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7d…2181backed Over | 48c | 23.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x732a…9f45backed Over | 48c | 23.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ae…c7b1backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b5…1b8ebacked Under | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1de…e683backed Over | 48c | 22.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…1625backed Over | 48c | 22.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80c…72b2backed Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1d…dbb5backed Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…0329backed Under | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6f…aec3backed Under | 52c | 21.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc5…a3c6backed Under | 50c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b3…8b8fbacked Over | 48c | 21.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f1…5370backed Over | 49c | 21.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 117 | 52.1%61 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe25…50a2backed Over | 48c | 21.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…0e1fbacked Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ea…1915backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 51c | 20.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…649cbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f3…be41backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…a978backed Under | 72c | 18.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. Blue JacketsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.