NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74534d66d9546d5d1da4d21313ae920875e0468c24fc54942701aaa68a3212ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,414
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,414 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 68c | 495.35$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.35 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 386.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 56c | 260.24$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 51c | 242.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.94 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 51c | 237.14$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.43 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 224.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.59 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Under | 26c | 219.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 43c | 192$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 67c | 162.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 38c | 162$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 43c | 154.21$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 50c | 133.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 57c | 98.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.63 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 39c | 73.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 40c | 55.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 63c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 295 | 53.6%158 W · 137 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 46c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 55c | 38.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…4a79backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 62c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 61c | 22.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 45c | 22.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63de…5c02backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d96…e396backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 64c | 18.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 5.5this page
- Hurricanes vs. Blue JacketsHurricanes won
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 6.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.